Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.003688 0.004033 0.004402 0.004827 0.005305 0.005826 0.006439
2025-11-30 0.003134 0.003623 0.004184 0.004879 0.005723 0.006724 0.008013
2025-12-07 0.002863 0.003437 0.004127 0.005028 0.006187 0.007647 0.009658
2025-12-14 0.002578 0.003183 0.003937 0.004961 0.006337 0.008159 0.010812
2025-12-21 0.002340 0.002955 0.003746 0.004855 0.006403 0.008540 0.011806
2025-12-28 0.002164 0.002789 0.003613 0.004803 0.006523 0.008990 0.012935
2026-01-04 0.002045 0.002686 0.003551 0.004836 0.006755 0.009612 0.014393
2026-01-11 0.001912 0.002551 0.003431 0.004772 0.006830 0.009998 0.015515
2026-01-18 0.001802 0.002439 0.003335 0.004729 0.006928 0.010421 0.016746
2026-01-25 0.001699 0.002331 0.003234 0.004669 0.006988 0.010781 0.017908
2026-02-01 0.001627 0.002261 0.003184 0.004680 0.007161 0.011342 0.019506
2026-02-08 0.001546 0.002174 0.003101 0.004632 0.007227 0.011721 0.020811
2026-02-15 0.001455 0.002069 0.002990 0.004538 0.007220 0.011994 0.022003
2026-02-22 0.001404 0.002022 0.002965 0.004585 0.007467 0.012766 0.024367
2026-03-01 0.001376 0.002010 0.002995 0.004723 0.007887 0.013917 0.027766
2026-03-08 0.001310 0.001932 0.002912 0.004661 0.007931 0.014332 0.029586
2026-03-15 0.001241 0.001847 0.002813 0.004563 0.007897 0.014583 0.031063
2026-03-22 0.001188 0.001784 0.002746 0.004516 0.007954 0.015029 0.033111
2026-03-29 0.001153 0.001748 0.002723 0.004546 0.008168 0.015837 0.036258
2026-04-05 0.001104 0.001688 0.002654 0.004486 0.008192 0.016227 0.038372
2026-04-12 0.001063 0.001637 0.002599 0.004447 0.008254 0.016710 0.040857
2026-04-19 0.001021 0.001584 0.002537 0.004391 0.008274 0.017099 0.043155
2026-04-26 0.000992 0.001553 0.002510 0.004402 0.008440 0.017856 0.046768